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While Sri Lanka is witnessing improvements in its economic landscape, the World Bank asserted that the persistent vulnerabilities in the banking sector require close monitoring. Even as the credit conditions improved, the non-performing loans (NPL) remained elevated at 13.4 percent in 3Q 2023, compared to 11.6 percent at end- 2022, reflecting a deterioration in the debt servicing capacity in the economy. In the recently launched ‘Sri Lanka Development Update: Bridge to Recovery’, the World Bank noted that the recently introduced temporary freeze on parate actions may provide some relief to some business segments but it would also delay the recovery of the overdue loans and may negatively affect the willingness of the banks to lend. It cautioned that this move would affect the pricing and availability of credit for the private sector, particularly if the suspension is further extended.
Similar warnings were issued by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka and Sri Lanka Banks’ Association, with regard to the government’s intervention in putting on hold the parate rights, which is typically used as a last resort. The World Bank said that the efforts to develop a modern insolvency regime and revise the requirements for the functioning of the business revival units can help strengthen the NPL resolution and recovery, by enabling the provision of effective alternatives for debt recovery by the banks. Although the banks’ capital adequacy ratio improved from 16.1 percent at end-2022 to 16.4 percent in 3Q 2023 – primarily as a result of the credit contraction that took place in the first half of 2023, the agency noted that some banks may experience capital shortfalls, due to the need to absorb the losses on the FX component of the domestic debt restructuring, continued FX exposures to the state-owned enterprises and increasing pressure on their asset quality. Accordingly, the Central Bank requested the banks to submit their recapitalisation plans in early 2024. A budgetary provision of Rs.450 billion (1.5 percent of gross domestic product) has also been allocated for the replenishment of the banks’ capital in 2024.