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The Sri Lanka Tourism Strategy for the period 2011 to 2016, launched in November 2011, aims to welcome 2.5 million arrivals by 2016. Not much is known on how the goal of reaching 2.5 million arrivals is to be achieved.
However, the Economic Development Ministry and the Tourist Board claim that the strategy had inputs from the industry although the substance doesn’t explicitly convey such a contribution from stakeholders. On 16th May 2012, at the ‘Tourism Awards 2011’ media briefing, the then President of the Tourists Hotel’s Association of Sri Lanka announced that “with the increase in room rates the country gets better spending tourists”.
A month later, the then Chairman of the Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority, addressing a public lecture on the growth strategies and future prospects of the local tourism industry, lamented, “Sri Lanka’s tourism industry lacks innovation and creativity to attract and benefit from visiting tourists, relying only on conventional methods to do so”. According to him, “the tourists are coming, the hotels are full, everyone is happy and complacency has set in”.
In March 2013, soon after the opening of Mattala Airport, the Chairman of Sri Lankan Airlines stated “Sri Lanka is capable of attracting a million more than the original number of 2.5 million tourists by 2016. He went on to add, “I believe this to be a realistic figure, given that the island now has a 2nd international airport”.
A news article datelined 19th July 2013 reported the Minister of Investment Promotion’s complaint that under the prevailing conditions, achieving 2.5 million tourists even by 2020 is doubtful. The Minister, elaborating further, said, “hoteliers upped the floor rates by 200 – 300 percent, making Sri Lanka’s hotels the most expensive in the region and if not for this huge hotel room charges, we could have met the 2.5 million tourists target by 2012”.
Omni shambles, fact, fiction and terminological inexactitude
The target set for 2013 is 1.25 million arrivals. On 26th July, the Director General of the Sri Lanka Tourism Promotion Authority, whilst speaking at the opening of ‘Hotel Show 2013’ informed that we can expect over 1.1 million tourist arrivals this year – only to soon recant as been misquoted by the news report, claiming, that what he actually said was, “that up to 30 June 2013, foreign tourist arrivals amounted to 512,281 and considering using this regression analysis for the last five years, foreign tourist arrivals are forecast as 1,280,000 in 2013”.
Meanwhile, at a meeting with Sri Lanka’s President in late August 2013, The Sri Lanka Association of Inbound Tour Operators had its request for the abolition of the minimum room rate for city hotels turned down in favour of the Colombo City Hotels Association’s defense of the benefits of staying with it, with the CCHA emphatically countering, that “If the minimum rate was detrimental, it’s only the city hotels that would have to make an appeal to the authorities”.
Interestingly, with the recent release of tourist arrivals figures for August (up 26.1 percent over Aug’12), and the YTD (Jan – Aug) total arrivals of 711,466 (up by 14.3% over the same period in 2012), Sri Lanka Tourism’s new target of 1,1 Million arrivals for 2013 - revised from 1.25 million arrivals, has been surreptitiously included as a footnote in the said news release.
The revised target means that within the next four months (Sept – Dec), Sri Lanka has to welcome an additional 388,534 arrivals to reach the revised 1.1 million mark. During the period Sept – Dec 2012, we recorded 382,944 arrivals. Essentially, the revised task at hand, with CHOGM and the high season ahead, is to achieve a formidable 1.5 percent ‘year-on year’ increase during the balance four months in the year to comfortably reach the diluted milestone. Combining reverse regression analysis (?) and ingenuity, our tourism ‘think tanks have rolled out yet another refreshingly uncanny way of ‘getting out of jail’.
The Wonder of Asia will never cease to amaze! How the saga of the new tourism strategy unfolds, mired in omni shambles, fact, fiction and terminological inexactitude, will only be known in 2016.
Flashback to the 1970’s
Going back in time, about four decades ago, in the 1970’s and up until the late 1990’s, tour operators (intermediaries) were all-powerful. In several leisure destinations tour operators played a critical role in determining the price customers paid for products locally. This had significant implications for destinations which depended on intermediaries (tour operators) for their clientele, and in particular for destinations, which, owing to an oversupply of facilities, clung on to ‘old tourism’.
Old tourism can be characterised as ‘mass, standardised and rigidly packaged’. Hitherto, destinations have suffered because they wrongly assumed that the higher the volume of tourists, the more benefits they can achieve. Tour operators in Europe and especially the larger/mass/integrated operators, such as Airtours, Thomson, TUI, and Neckerman, exercised bargaining and coercive power because of the large volume of tourists they represented and reduced the prices of principals at destinations.
This enabled them to offer competitively priced products at their marketplace. However, as local suppliers of rooms (hotels) were not able to gain enough profit from the basic product. For the most part, tour operators made out that only they understood what their customers wanted in terms of a holiday. Consequently, they considered it their prerogative to create the ‘package’, assemble the stock of hotel rooms, handle ground arrangements, organise charter flights and sell it at a price the market would pay.
Tourism destinations meanwhile, had only to concentrate on developing their infrastructure, accommodation, attractions and facilities and to promote these to the product managers of the tour operators in order to sell allocations.
In a nutshell, this is how it worked: