President Ranil Wickremesinghe yesterday said the world is keenly watching how Sri Lanka will recover from the “self-inflicted” economic crisis, the worst in its post-independent history, by negotiating with its creditors for financing assurances to unlock a bailout package from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
While the pandemic in the last two years created a segment of people identified as ‘new poor’, who were on the brink of poverty, the economic crisis, which soon followed, tipped them down below the poverty line, sending the country’s official poverty levels at least multiple levels higher than what was prior to the pandemic.
Sri Lankans could be in for a long drawn-out path out of the economic misery that they have dug themselves into, as the prevailing cost of living crisis could grind on for years with inflation staying higher than the pre-crisis level, even after a year from now, that also if things turn out according to the forecasters’ expectations.
One of Sri Lanka’s most important development priorities must be to grow its stock of decent jobs and ensure inclusive access to them, particularly by women and young people, the International Labour Organisation (ILO) said.
Sri Lanka will present its programme agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to its official and private creditors tomorrow for the first time, seeking debt relief, as the US $ 81 billion crisis-hit economy seeks to turnaround its fortunes.
While the broader economy contracted by 8.4 percent in the second quarter ended in June, the construction activities, which contributed an outsize 9.5 percent to the overall economic output, shrank by nearly twice as much as in the same period, indicating its importance to the Sri Lankan economy, specially in the post-war era.
Sri Lanka’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted the most in two years in the quarter ended June (2Q22), the first full quarter since the country plunged into a deep economic crisis followed by social and political upheaval, which disrupted most of the economic activities amid widespread shortages and soaring prices.
As the country’s tax system is undergoing a complete overhaul to ensure that the government raises adequate revenues to ensure its fiscal deficits are kept at a sustainable level, the financial and tax experts are calling for the removal of a wide range of exemptions from the Value Added Tax (VAT), which is deemed as a distortion.
In what appears to be another notable development in the space of external sector advances made as of late, the Central Bank had become a net absorber of foreign exchange after being a net seller for eleven consecutive months since the country started facing foreign exchange shortages since the back half of last year.
Sri Lanka will receive an emergency assistance loan amounting to US $ 203 million from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) to ensure the poor and vulnerable, especially women and children, have access to food and have their livelihoods protected.
As Sri Lanka is in the midst of securing fund disbursement from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to bail out the crisis-struck economy, all measures must be taken to avoid a haircut, particularly on the country’s domestic debt, so that long-lasting negative impacts on the economy can be evaded.
The government has deployed a new welfare benefit information system from next year onwards to provide better targeted social welfare benefits by way of direct cash transfers to the vulnerable groups in society.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) yesterday said Sri Lanka should move forward “expeditiously” to secure debt relief from its creditors to ensure debt sustainability as disbursement of any IMF financing is contingent upon that and the reforms carried out by the authorities to restore macroeconomic stability.
Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe expressed confidence in the overall macro programme and structural reforms on the national economy getting on track going forward, as the interim budget presented on Tuesday (30) is the basis of the foundation of those efforts.
With the aim to rescue SriLankan Airlines (SLA) from a looming collapse due to its heavy debt stock, the government is planning to sell up to a 49 percent stake of two profitable units of the airline, with management transfers, in order to restructure the national carrier with a possible local or foreign partner.
After reaching a staff-level agreement, the full approval for the envisaged International Monetary Fund (IMF) Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement could take about six months considering challenges in the negotiations process with the country’s external creditors, particularly China, according to experts.
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