Asian markets mixed after week of fluctuations

The dollar fell further against the yen as investors continue to buy the Japanese unit as a hedge against volatility

Asian investors remained on edge yesterday as the curtain came down on another volatile week for markets with fears of a global trade war playing off against a positive economic outlook.

Dealers have swung from optimism to pessimism since last week’s controversial move by Donald Trump to throw up tariffs on imports of some metals, with the removal of his moderate secretary of state adding to the unease.

However, the president’s agreement to meet Kim Jong Un to discuss North Korea’s nuclear programme provided much-needed relief, while a positive jobs and wages report tempered worries interest rates would shoot up.

Attention now turns to the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy meeting next week. A rate rise is expected but its statement and new bank boss Jerome Powell’s comments will be pored over for clues about future hikes with speculation it could announce three more this year.

“It’s shaping up to be arguably one of the most critical central bank policy events in some time as Jay Powell gets set to dictate the course of Fed policy for the remainder of 2018 and beyond,” said Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trade at OANDA.

“Given the enormity of the risk event, traders are getting remarkably anxious awaiting hints on forward guidance, so we should expect interest rate uncertainty to intensify as we near the event horizon.”

Wall Street’s three main indexes ended mixed, with a drop in US jobless claims providing support, while top White House advisor Peter Navarro, a trade hawk looking to sooth trade war fears, told CNBC the administration planned to work with allies “to make things better for everybody”.

However, he added that Trump would soon consider fresh measures against Beijing over its “theft” of US intellectual property.

Yesterday, Tokyo ended 0.6 percent lower, while Hong Kong slipped 0.1 percent and Singapore eased 0.1 percent. Shanghai fell 0.7 percent, while Bangkok and Jakarta were also down. But Sydney added 0.4 percent and Seoul gained 0.1 percent. Wellington, Taipei and Manila also rose.

Further uncertainty has been fanned by reports that Trump is planning to sack his National Security Advisor HR McMaster, just days after Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was ousted and not long since Trump’s chief economic advisor Gary Cohn resigned.

Also, the special counsel investigating Moscow’s influence on the US election has subpoenaed the company founded by Trump to turn over documents related to Russia, bringing the probe closer to the president.

The upheaval has led to concerns about instability in the White House and a shift to a more hardline approach to world affairs. The dollar fell further against the yen as investors continue to buy the Japanese unit as a hedge against volatility, while the euro was up but being weighed by a soft tone from the European Central Bank on its plans for monetary tightening.

Officials at the ECB “have made it clear the ECB still leans dovishly when it comes to that first move in interest rates after the end of (easing) in the next six to 12 months”, said Greg McKenna, chief market strategist at AxiTrader. In early European trade London was flat and Paris slipped 0.1 percent. Frankfurt’s open was delayed by up to an hour because of a “technical problem” with its trading system.

AFP: