Sri Lanka crisis: Central Bank lays out extent of economic problems

BBC: Sri Lanka’s Central Bank has laid out the extent of the country’s worst economic crisis in more than 70 years.

In its annual report, the bank outlined how last year wages failed to keep up with the soaring cost of everything from food to fuel.

“Several inherent weaknesses” and “policy lapses” helped to trigger the severe economic problems that engulfed the South Asian nation, the bank says.
The bank now expects the economy to return to growth next year.

The Central Bank of Sri Lanka forecasts the economy will shrink by 2 percent this year but expand by 3.3 percent in 2024.

The prediction is more optimistic than the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which forecast a contraction in 2023 of around 3 percent and growth of 1.5 percent next year. 
The Central Bank’s report also outlined how headline inflation reached almost 70 percent in September, as the prices of fresh fruit, wheat and eggs more than doubled.

At the same time, the cost of transportation and essential utilities such as electricity and water rose even faster.

Last year, the economy shrank by 7.8 percent and the country defaulted on its foreign debt for the first time since independence from the UK in 1948.
Defaults happen when governments are unable to meet some or all of their debt payments to creditors.

This damaged its reputation with lenders, making it even harder to borrow money on the international markets.

“The Sri Lankan economy faced its most onerous year in its post-independence history,” the report said.

An “unsustainable” economic model “steered the country towards a multifaceted disaster,” it added.

Sri Lanka owes about US $ 7 billion (£5.7 billion) to China and around US $ 1 billion to India. In February, both countries agreed to restructure their loans, giving Sri Lanka more time to repay them.

Last month, the IMF agreed to lend Sri Lanka US $ 3 billion. That was on top of a US $ 600 million loan from the World Bank last year.

Sri Lanka’s government is currently negotiating its debt repayments with bondholders and creditors before the IMF reviews the situation in September.