Ukraine war, higher rates to limit growth in developing Asia - ADB

REUTERS: The Asian Development Bank (ADB) yesterday slashed its growth forecasts for developing Asia for this year and next, reflecting the economic fallout from Russia’s war in Ukraine and aggressive tightening by global central banks to tame inflation.

Also contributing to its weaker growth forecasts was a sharper-than-expected deceleration in China prompted by its lingering COVID-19 lockdowns, the ADB said in a supplement to its Asian Development Outlook report.
Downgrading its 2022 forecast for a third time, the ADB said it now expects the bloc’s combined economy, which includes China and India, to expand 4.6 percent, slower than its 5.2 percent projection in April.

 “Risks to developing Asia’s economic outlook remain elevated and mainly associated with external factors,” the ADB said, citing a substantial slowdown in global growth, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s aggressive tightening, and surge in commodity prices.

For 2023, the region is forecast to grow 5.2 percent, down slightly from its earlier forecast of 5.3 percent, the ADB said. “From within the region, downside risks could arise from the potentially lingering effects on supply chains from (China’s) latest round of lockdowns and the country’s growth slowdown, which could hinder developing Asia’s growth momentum,” the multilateral lending organisation said.