China’s aggressive border tactics: Threatening regional stability for territorial gains

The Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) territorial strategies have significant implications for regional security in Asia. China's recent assertiveness, ranging from its military presence in the South China Sea to its border disputes with India and Bhutan, highlights a troubling pattern of undermining regional stability. While the CCP's hardline rhetoric may serve domestic political agendas, it risks dangerous and fatal escalations by pursuing an expansionist agenda that disregards modern geopolitics.

Currently, China is involved in a staggering 17 territorial disputes with its neighboring countries, with at least 7 of these disputes concerning land. This extensive list suggests that Beijing is deliberately creating conflict to leverage negotiations for territorial gains.

China's ambitions have often triggered long-standing conflicts, creating instability in an already tense region. The CCP’s approach—marked by attempts to revise borders unilaterally—sets a precedent for conflict rather than cooperation. By flouting international norms and expanding its territorial claims, China alienates its neighbors and heightens tensions with countries like Japan, India, Vietnam, and the Philippines.

A History of Unilateral Disputes

The CCP's post-1949 history is marked by several contentious border disputes. The Sino-Soviet border clashes of 1969, which involved skirmishes along the Ussuri River, showcased the Communist Party’s readiness to provoke conflict with ideologically aligned neighbors like Russia over territorial claims. Similarly, China’s disputes with India over the Aksai Chin and Arunachal Pradesh regions have fostered a legacy of distrust and unresolved conflicts.

Smaller neighbors have also felt the strain of Chinese pressure. Bhutan has faced ongoing territorial disputes with China, particularly affecting its northern and western borders. Nepal has raised concerns over Chinese encroachment despite historically friendly relations. Mongolia, influenced by China for decades, has faced pressure regarding its sovereignty and resources.

In Southeast Asia, Beijing’s aggressive claims over the South China Sea—encompassing areas claimed by Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Brunei—reflect a pattern of hegemonic expansion. These unilateral alterations to existing agreements violate the sovereignty of China’s neighbors. The dispute with the Philippines, especially over the Spratly Islands and Scarborough Shoal, has been marked by aggressive tactics, including harassment of Filipino fishing boats and blockades of supply routes to the BRP Sierra Madre, a Philippine Navy outpost. Such actions, justified through selective historical interpretations, threaten to escalate regional conflicts and undermine peace across Asia.

Intentions and Interventions: The CCP’s Strategy

Revisiting historical grievances to alter the status quo has yielded minimal benefits for Beijing, especially considering its acceptance of existing borders with Russia. This acceptance should guide China to respect and uphold established boundaries with its neighbors.

The inconsistency in Beijing’s territorial arguments reveals its true intentions. Is its policy of raising unilateral boundary disputes genuinely about reclaiming lost territories, or is it more focused on disrupting regional peace and challenging the rules-based international order to assert global hegemony? It appears that China’s real objective may be to undermine the current international framework.

The CCP's current trajectory is a recipe for regional destabilization. A shift towards dialogue and cooperation, rather than coercion and confrontation, would enhance China’s international image and secure its long-term interests in an increasingly cautious region. However, given the extent of conflict already stirred by Beijing, it seems unlikely that the CCP will adopt a more mature approach. The damage to its reputation has already been substantial.

If China does not recalibrate its territorial strategy, it risks being perceived not as a defender of sovereignty but as a destabilizing force. Consequently, Beijing's continued focus on stoking conflict will be a crucial consideration for all its neighbors in future bilateral relations.