29 Jun 2024 - {{hitsCtrl.values.hits}}
SHANGHAI, June 29 (Reuters) - China's treasury futures leapt to fresh highs on Thursday, while long-dated yields skirted record lows, as investors continued to plough money into bonds, shrugging off repeated warnings about risk from the central bank.
Assets of Chinese bond mutual funds ballooned to a record 6.5 trillion yuan ($894.3 billion) in May, up 40% from a year earlier, official data showed. The rise reflects how lower deposit rates are steering savings into fixed income products amid stock market volatility.
The bond bull run in China mirrors investor pessimism towards an economy grappling with a real estate crisis, local government debt troubles and heightened geopolitical risks.
Markets are broadly in agreement that China's interest rates will trend lower, Su Gang, chief investment officer at China Pacific Insurance Group, told a conference this week.
"We're in the midst of a long cycle that we've never experienced before .... and the market lacks confidence."
The continuous decline in yields, which move inversely to bond prices, is testing the resolve of the People's Bank of China (PBOC) to cool feverish bond buying it deems could endanger financial stability.
Despite these warnings, investors have continued to drive up bond prices this week.
China's 30-year treasury futures for September delivery rose roughly 0.3% on Thursday morning to a record high, while 10-year bond futures also hit new heights.
Meanwhile, bond mutual fund assets in May grew to a record 6.5 trillion yuan, up 40% from 4.6 trillion yuan a year earlier.
Banks, reluctant to lend in a wobbly economy, are also investing heavily in Chinese government bonds, seen as safe haven assets. Smaller banks, which have fewer quality clients to lend to, are more active in bond buying than major banks.
Commercial banks own about 20.3 trillion yuan worth of Chinese government bonds in the interbank market, accounting for 71% of the total.
Banks also buy other types of yuan-denominated bonds such as those issued by state policy banks.
($1 = 7.2685 Chinese yuan)
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